Lung cancers will drop in next 20 years17th February 2009
According to research by Cancer Research UK, the amount of people diagnosed with lung cancer will decrease by almost one fifth by 2024.
Researchers said that by 2024 only 40 per 100,000 of the population will be diagnosed with the disease, in comparison with than the current figure of 50 per 100,000.
The research team looked at disease and population information from different sources, including the Office for National Statistics.
They predicted that in fifteen years time, 18,000 women and 22,000 men a year will receive a diagnosis of lung cancer.
Lung cancer is usually diagnosed amongst older people because of the gap between starting smoking and when the disease becomes apparent.
Britain's longer-living population could mean that the number of people living with lung cancer could rise.
The research showed that the amount of people with lung cancer might increase from 38,500 to over 41,600 by 2024.
The cause of 9 in 10 cases of lung cancer is smoking. Men have more danger of the disease as they are "more likely" to smoke.
The number of people with the disease has been decreasing since the 1970s, when over 150 men per 100,000 received a lung cancer diagnosis.
Report co-author Professor Max Parkin said: "These predictions are based on what we know to date about the current figures and trends for lung cancer. As fewer people smoke we should see a lower rate of the disease."
Jean King, Cancer Research UK's director of tobacco control, said: "We know that nine in 10 cases of lung cancer are caused by smoking but that one in five people still smoke, so it's vital we all work to protect future generations from this scourge."
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Title: Lung cancers will drop in next 20 years
Author: Jess Laurence
Article Id: 10232
Date Added: 17th Feb 2009